Planning vs Pathfinding

A detailed plan is useful when you know what you’re doing: when you (or others) have done the thing, or when you’ve been somewhere before. If you know where to go and how to get there a map saves a great deal of time and energy. But detailed planning is less useful when you don’t know the way: when you’re…

9k

… views of DriverlessCroc as of 2nd September 2020. That’s 1000 views in almost exactly a month, with an average of 32 views per day in August and the best ever “normal” month (with no particular promotions or spikes via twitter). There were five days above 40 views, with an unusually high high of 95 and a low of 14.…

Orders of magnitude / next size up

There are lots of things that are easy enough to do once. Doing the same thing a second time can be almost as big a step: you’ll have learned some useful lessons the first time round but might also have used up non-renewable resources (available time, money, enthusiasm) or discover that you’ve picked the lowest-hanging fruit. If you’re serious about…

8k

DC hit 8,000 views on 3rd August 2020! July was our best month so far,* with an average of 28 views per day, even with no significant twitter retweets (as was the case for May and June). Conclusion: DC is slowly building momentum, which might be the best way. Thanks as ever for coming. *Not including the Tyler Cowen spike,…

Systems thinking: Gall’s Law

Gall’s Law: A complex system that works is invariably found to have evolved from a simple system that worked. A complex system designed from scratch never works and cannot be patched up to make it work. You have to start over with a working simple system. As described by David Perell in his very interesting 50 Ideas That Changed My…

Build it up (buttercup)

Reality checks Last October I ran the Jakarta half-marathon and found it much harder than I expected. There were mitigating factors – it was hot and humid, and I was running with very low weekly mileage (about 10 miles a week!) – but even so, it was a tough finish. Up until that point I’d always assumed that the marathon-I-never-quite-got-around-to…

No finish line (2)

“No finish line” applies to most of our work too. There will be tasks to tick off and projects that we complete, but most of the important stuff – helping people who need help, making something important available, working so that things get better rather than worse – doesn’t stop. Won’t stop. This means: That projects and milestones become more…

Seth Godin on uncertainty: starting before you see the end

The second group of you – and I can see it in your eyes – is saying: “Ah, it’s possible to build the perfect entrepreneurial project. [But] I can’t, because I don’t see it.” And you have to start before you see the end. There’s no way to do this without starting before you see the end. You build the…